Daijiworld Media Network – Mangaluru (MS)

Mangaluru, Apr 11: Scientists at the IMD (Indian Meteorological Department) have predicted that if a cyclone forms after the summer rains, pre-monsoon showers will arrive in May itself.

There is a likelihood of moderate summer rainfall in the second week of April across Karnataka. Rain accompanied by thunder and lightning is expected. Following the cessation of these rains, pre-monsoon showers are anticipated towards the end of April or the first week of May.

Over the past two or three years, cyclones have formed in the Bay of Bengal and the Arabian Sea. In 2023, Cyclone Moka arrived in May, while Cyclone Biparjoy delayed the onset of rains. There were a total of six cyclones in 2023: Moka and Biparjoy, followed by Cyclone Tej on October 21, Hamon on October 25, Mijili on November 17, and Minchav on December 1.

Senior scientist Prasad of the IMD stated, “Cyclones play a significant role in pre-monsoon rains. This year, there are no indications of any cyclones forming in the month of April in the Bay of Bengal or the Arabian Sea. However, predicting the weather towards the end of April or May is challenging. If a cyclone hits at the beginning of the monsoon season, it may delay the onset of monsoon rains.”

In 2020, due to Cyclone Nisarga in the Arabian Sea and Cyclone Hampan in the Bay of Bengal, the monsoon was exceptionally robust, resulting in widespread heavy rainfall. However, such conditions have not recurred since 2020.