New Delhi, Nov 15 (IANS): Peak power demand in Delhi this winter is expected to go up to 4,800 MW and the two BSES discoms in the national capital are gearing up to ensure that adequate electricity is available in this period, the company said on Thursday.

A BSES release said the peak power demand in BSES Rajdhani Power Ltd. (BRPL) and BSES Yamuna Power Ltd (BYPL) areas had reached 1,888 MW and 1,1136 MW, respectively, during last winter.

"This year, it is expected to reach 1950 MW and 1225 MW for BRPL and BYPL respectively. Besides long-term arrangements, BSES discoms are also using advanced techniques like Banking and Backdown to dispose off surplus power and making arrangements to get power during summer months," the statement said.

"In case of any unforeseeable contingency, BSES discoms will buy short term power from the exchange which is available at economical rates," it added.

The company said that for taking care of the summer demand and to optimally manage the winter surplus, BSES discoms export and bank surplus electricity with other states.

"BRPL will bank between 300 MW and 400 MW with states like Himachal Pradesh, Meghalaya, Manipur and Jammu and Kashmir. On its part, BYPL will return around 200 MW to states like Himachal Pradesh, from whom it had taken the quantum during the summer-months," a BSES official said.

To better meet present day demand, BSES said it uses a mix of in-house advanced statistical forecasting models and state-of-the-art weather forecasting solutions, including artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning.

"This accurate day ahead, intraday and medium term demand forecasting is vital for optimal and cost effective power planning, ensuring reliable power supply to consumers at an optimal cost," the spokesperson added.

According to BSES, "the day ahead forecasting accuracy" achieved has been close to 97 per cent while that of intra-day accuracy upto 98 per cent.