Rise in future earnings required for stock markets to sustain growth: Economic Survey


New Delhi, Jan 29 (IANS): The Economic Survey 2017-18 tabled in Parliament on Monday said that "sustaining" current stock valuations in India requires "future earnings performance to rise to meet still high expectations".

According to the Economic Survey 2017-18 presented by the Finance Minister Arun Jaitley, earnings growth will "depend on whether a significant economic rebound is this time well and truly around the corner".

Over the past two fiscals, the Indian stock market has soared, outperforming many other major markets. Since end-December 2015, the S&P BSE Sensex has surged 46 per cent in rupee terms and 52 per cent in US dollar terms.

"Does this imply that Indian P/E (price-earnings ratios) ratios have reached a higher 'new normal'? Perhaps. It's possible that the portfolio shift set in train by the campaign against illicit wealth will result in a sustained reduction in the ERP (equity risk premium)," the survey said.

"...Beyond ERPs, sustaining current stock valuations in India also requires future earnings performance to rise to meet still high expectations. And this outlook, in turn, depends on whether a significant economic rebound is this time well and truly around the corner."

As per the survey, the exponential rise in the stock markets has led to a convergence in the PE ratios of the Indian stock market with that of the US at "a lofty level of about 26".

 

  

Top Stories


Leave a Comment

Title: Rise in future earnings required for stock markets to sustain growth: Economic Survey



You have 2000 characters left.

Disclaimer:

Please write your correct name and email address. Kindly do not post any personal, abusive, defamatory, infringing, obscene, indecent, discriminatory or unlawful or similar comments. Daijiworld.com will not be responsible for any defamatory message posted under this article.

Please note that sending false messages to insult, defame, intimidate, mislead or deceive people or to intentionally cause public disorder is punishable under law. It is obligatory on Daijiworld to provide the IP address and other details of senders of such comments, to the authority concerned upon request.

Hence, sending offensive comments using daijiworld will be purely at your own risk, and in no way will Daijiworld.com be held responsible.